2020商务英语中级写作范文：经济大跌

　　The economy's stumble

　　经济的绊足

　　Air pocket or second dip?

　　气囊保护还是二次沦陷?

　　Oct 8th 2009 | WASHINGTON, DC

　　From The Economist print edition

　　A slump in September prompts thoughts of new stimulus

　　9月经济大跌，新刺激方案提上日程

　　AFTER riding a wave of improvement since the spring, the economy stumbled in September according to the latest figures. Non-farm employment sank by 263,000, which was 62,000 more than in August, and the unemployment rate rose by 0.1% to 9.8%. Car sales tumbled as the federal “cash-for-clunkers” programme expired. Manufacturing activity cooled a bit.

　　根据最新统计数据，从春季开始一路高歌猛进的美国经济在9月大幅下跌。非农业职位减少了26.3万个，降幅较8月增加了6.2万个，失业率升至9.8%，增幅0.1%。汽车销量在联邦“旧车换现金”计划结束后陡降。制造业略有放缓。

　　All this is probably an air pocket; overall economic output almost certainly began to rise in the third quarter of the year and employment will eventually follow. Leading indicators such as the stockmarket and new claims for unemployment benefits are signaling recovery. But it is taking a painfully long time. “We will need to grind out this recovery step by step,” acknowledged Barack Obama on October 3rd, the day after the job data were released. To add insult to injury, the Bureau of Labour Statistics concluded that the economy lost 824,000 more jobs in the year to March than it had originally thought. That would raise the recession’s toll so far to 8m, or 5.8% of the workforce. Assuming no further revisions, the recession now holds the honour of the most severe since the Second World War—exceeding even the 5% loss recorded in 1948.

　　这一切或许是如“气囊”一般的保护性反应;今年第三季度，经济总量确已开始上升，就业率最终也将随之跟进。证券市场以及新失业津贴政策等主要指标都预示着经济的回暖。然而，前路漫漫。“我们需要逐步恢复经济，”巴拉克•奥巴马在就业数据发布的第二天(10月3日)承认说。雪上加霜的是，劳动统计局表示，截至今年5月，美国经济比预想的进一步减少了82.4万个职位。这使得经济衰退造成的总失业人数达到了800万，占劳动力的5.8%。如果经济停止进一步恶化，那这将是自二战以来最严重的经济衰退——其损失超过了1948年所记载的GDP的5%。

　　The bigger problem is that once employment growth resumes, it will probably remain anaemic. More than half of businesses say they will not return to pre-recession staffing levels until 2012, if ever, according to a September survey of chief financial officers by Duke University and CFO Magazine, a sister publication of The Economist. Fully 43% still plan to cull payrolls in the next 12 months.

　　更大的问题在于，就业一旦增加，它仍有可能持续疲软。根据杜克大学及《CFO Magazine》杂志(与《The Economist》同属一家公司)财务长在9月的一份报告，超过半数的公司表示即使其人员编制有所回升，但在2012年之前不会回到衰退前的水平。共有43%的公司计划在未来的12个月中继续裁减人手。

　　Mr Obama and his advisers are considering new measures to boost the economy. These will not be on the scale of this year’s $787 billion stimulus programme, which will in any case continue to inject money into the economy until the end of next year. More likely, he will seek to continue some provisions of the stimulus bill, such as extending unemployment benefits for laid-off workers and subsidies to allow them to keep their health insurance.

　　奥巴马先生和他的顾问们正考虑新的经济提振措施，但其规模将不及今年7870亿美元的刺激计划，后者于明年年底之前将不遗余力的不断向经济注入资金。可能性更大的是，他将延续刺激方案中的某些条款，如下岗职工失业津贴扩面以及健康保险补助等。

　　The retreat in car sales when cash-for-clunkers ended was a jarring reminder of the withdrawal symptoms that await when other stimulus measures, such as the homebuyer’s credit, are allowed to expire. But extending them would boost a soaring deficit that is estimated to have hit $1.4 billion in the fiscal year that ended on September 30th. Voters are nervous about red ink stretching away into the future, and even Mr Obama’s liberal supporters are turning up the heat. This week Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, said a value-added tax should be “on the table”. It may yet come to that, though introducing such a tax too early would risk choking off the recovery and creating a brand new tax that would give the president’s enemies a field-day. No one said his job was easy.

　　“旧车换现金”计划结束所带来的汽车销量下降预示了在诸如购房贷款等刺激措施期满结束后经济所将经历的退缩症状。但是，如果继续实行此类措施，那将会为9月30日截止的本财政年带来预计高达14亿美元的财政赤字。选民们对未来源源不断的财政赤字忧心忡忡，甚至是奥巴马先生的自由派支持者都在火上浇油。本周，众议院议长南希•佩洛西表示，征收增值税应该 “提上日程”。增值税迟早会付诸实施。然而，过早的出台此类税收将有可能阻碍经济恢复，同时，征收新税将会为总统的劲敌们提供反击机会。大家都知道，奥巴马先生过得不容易。

　　考试网校课程培训：选择考试网让全体学友见证你的进展！新的商务英语网校培训课程紧贴新题型，助你直击四大专项，24H在线答疑，商务英语轻易掌握！开课三日内不满意无条件退费！商务英语初中高级各项套餐学习班，针对考生量身打造！

　　统一服务热线：4000-525-585