As world leaders， CEOs and activists prepare to meet in Glasgow， two camps are emerging. Prisoners of hope who， like me，believe humankind can step-up to prevent disastrous temperature rises， as science says we must. And the vocal cynics already declaring COP26 a failure before its begun.
The key test for Glasgow is whether recent climate momentum keeps building. More nations and industries than ever are now moving in the right direction. The point is we must urgently accelerate this change.
Who would have predicted that during COVID-19 the world would have taken bigger strides on tackling global warming，than in the five years since the Paris Agreement? Despite predictions the pandemic would knock climate off the international agenda and let polluters off the hook， the 21 countries adopting net zero targets has jumped to 131. The number of major companies doing so has trebled.
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None of this is yet enough and we shouldn't be self-congratulatory. The summer's IPCC report made clear that speeding climate change is a ‘code red’for humanity， to quote the UN Secretary General. We now know that emissions must fall by 45% in the next nine years，while current forecasts predict a rise. The goalposts have indeed shifted.
No government or C-suite wants planetary suicide. If we could take our recent rate of progress and double it again in the next 18 months， the world could finally be on track.
Crucially， we need a COP that puts partnership at the heart of our collective efforts. We need big， coordinated action across all parts of society， with governments， business and civil society coming together for transformational change.
We can't yet say that Glasgow will move us forward on all these fronts， and we can't say it won't. Most likely we'll be left a mixture of disappointed and encouraged:buoyed by the fact we are doing more than ever， and still terrified it won't be enough.
在各国领导人、首 席执行官和活动家准备在格拉斯哥会面之际，两大阵营正在形成。像我这种满怀希望的人认定人类能够加紧行动，防止灾难性的升温，这正是科学界认为我们必须采取的做法。而高声吹毛求疵的人在《联合国气候变化框架公约》第26次缔约方会议(COP26)开始之前就已经宣告它没用。
格拉斯哥会议面临的重大考验是，最近的气候行动势头能否持续增强。如今，朝着正确方向迈进的国家和行业数量空前。关键在于我们必须紧急加快这一变化。
谁能预见到在新冠肺炎疫情暴发期间，全世界会在应对全球变暖方面取得比在《巴黎协定》签署后的五年里更大的进展?尽管有预测说这场大流行病会让气候问题掉出国际议程，并让污染制造者全身而退，可事实上采纳净零排放目标的国家数量从21个激增至131个。采取这种做法的大公司的数量增加了两倍。
光有这些还不够，我们不应该沾沾自喜。今年夏天发布的政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)报告援引了联合国秘书长的话，明确表示不断加速的气候变化是给人类发出的“红色代码”。我们现在了解到碳排放必须在今后九年里减少45%，而当前的预测是排放量还会增加。事实上完成任务的难度进一步提升。
没有哪个政府或企业最高管理层想看到地球自杀。如果我们能保持住最近的发展进度，并在今后18个月实现翻倍，世界最终可能会走上正轨。
至关重要的是，我们需要召开一次把伙伴关系置于集体行动核 心位置的缔约方会议。我们需要社会各界采取大刀阔斧、协调一致的行动，让政府、企业和民间团体为实现局面的彻底改观而齐心协力。
还不能说格拉斯哥会议会让我们在所有这些方面取得进展，也不能说它不会取得这样的成果。最有可能出现的情况是，我们会既感到失望又受到鼓舞：振奋于我们做得比以往更多，同时仍旧为努力还不够而惶恐。
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